Every prediction is saved at game time and graded against the final score, across MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL. Each model was rebuilt in October 2026, so every sport shows its current model's record next to its full history. No cherry-picking: the only rule applied to past days is the NRFI no-play rule, explained below, applied to every day the same way.
Moneyline: every game's pick, graded. Confidence is the model's own win probability, so a 65% pick should win about 65% of the time. Top Edges: the bets the model rated as positive expected value against the posted odds, tracked since Oct 10, 2026 by win rate against the rate the model expected.
Each day picks up to three games for "no run in the first inning", played in order until one hits; the day is a win if any of them does. The model only plays days with all three picks and a slate rated Moderate or better. That rule went live Oct 6, 2026 and is applied to every earlier day from the picks saved that morning, so days it rejects (thin slates, the playoffs) are no-play days and don't count, won or lost.
The most recent graded moneyline picks across all four sports. Anyone can audit these against the final scores.
| Date | Pick | Result |
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